Sure, we still have the 2022 midterm elections to deal with, but that hasn’t stopped many in the mainstream media from looking forward to 2024, when a number of megalithic politicians will be taking center stage, vying for their shot at the White House.
And while no one has officially declared their candidacy yet, we have some fairly safe guesses to make.
Joe Biden has consistently mentioned the idea of running again, despite the Democratic Party’s growing unease with the idea. California Governor Gavin Newsom also appears to be considering it, based on his advertising maneuvers in which he takes aim at Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, who many believe is also eyeing a potential campaign.
DeSantis would need to get through Donald Trump first, however, and there is one very specific scenario in which he might actually be able to pull it off…but it’s a longshot.
If DeSantis were to secure the Republican presidential nomination — a mighty big “if” — Trump would have to decide whether or not to run as an independent candidate.
That’s the scenario that was imagined in a new YouGov poll released this week that illustrates the dilemma facing Republicans in 2024.
Respondents were asked, “If the 2024 presidential election were held today between the following candidates, who would you vote for?”
This is where the wackiness comes into play:
Among registered voters, 44 percent responded “Joe Biden, the Democrat,” a full 21 points ahead of the runner-up, DeSantis — whose 23 percent support is a full five points higher than the 18 percent who said they’d vote for “Donald Trump, running as an Independent.”
And in that same matchup, among Trump voters, 51 percent said they’d vote for DeSantis, with only 36 percent saying they would vote for Trump.
It should be noted that Donald Trump running as an independent would be a nightmare scenario for the GOP, and that the only way to truly be sure he won’t would be to make sure that the former President is the party’s nominee.